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Is Deebo Samuel for DK Metcalf fair?

Deebo Samuel and DK Metcalf have been on opposite sides of 28 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Deebo Samuel for DK Metcalf, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 8 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 8 of those 8 times it was the Deebo Samuel side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating DK Metcalf as the more valuable of the two.

28
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
8 / 0
One side sweetened: Deebo Samuel / DK Metcalf

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Deebo Samuel prices at 119 and DK Metcalf at 2,285, so the market currently rates DK Metcalf about 19.2x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

Grade Deebo Samuel for DK Metcalf now Scout your league

The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Deebo SamuelWent with DK Metcalf
2026-06-13+17%Matthew Stafford, Justice Hill, Michael Wilson, 19 more, 1 1st, 1 3rd, 1 later pickJoe Milton, Rachaad White, Kirk Cousins, 15 more, 1 1st, 1 3rd
2025-12-24-97%Juwan Johnson, Jalen NailorJ.K. Dobbins, Sean Tucker
2025-02-03+24%Lamar Jackson, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Kenneth WalkerCaleb Williams, Marvin Harrison, Courtland Sutton
2024-11-22+37%2 1sts, 1 2nd
2024-11-10-51%Tyler Lockett, Mark Andrews, Tyler AllgeierT.J. Hockenson
2024-10-17-53%Nick Chubb, Jaxon Smith-NjigbaTyreek Hill
2024-10-09-46%Rashid Shaheed
2024-08-31-51%Rhamondre StevensonKeaton Mitchell, 1 1st
2024-06-22-25%Chris Godwin, Deuce Vaughn, 1 2ndParris Campbell, 1 2nd
2024-02-25-41%Josh DownsJoe Mixon

Read each row as: Deebo Samuel, plus anything in the third column, was traded for DK Metcalf plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Deebo Samuel; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 28, the whole-deal value gap runs -35.5% from the side that received Deebo Samuel, so the side ending up with DK Metcalf has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Deebo Samuel for DK Metcalf fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 28 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Deebo Samuel trade · Every DK Metcalf trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms