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Is Derek Carr for Mac Jones fair?

Derek Carr and Mac Jones have been on opposite sides of 21 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

In 3 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 2 to 1 between the Derek Carr side and the Mac Jones side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.

21
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
2 / 1
One side sweetened: Derek Carr / Mac Jones
Grade Derek Carr for Mac Jones now Scout your league

The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Derek CarrWent with Mac Jones
2025-02-04-81%2 3rds, 1 later pickAudric Estime, Deebo Samuel, Rashid Shaheed
2023-11-18-24%Daniel JonesMike Evans
2023-11-03-2%Javonte Williams1 1st
2023-10-18+67%Ezekiel Elliott, 1 2ndJaleel McLaughlin, 1 3rd, 1 later pick
2023-07-30+44%1 later pick
2023-07-26+34%Hayden HurstJelani Woods
2023-07-10+63%David Njoku, David Montgomery, Terry McLaurinKenny McIntosh, Brandin Cooks, Baker Mayfield, 2 more
2023-05-21-4%Marquise Brown, 1 3rd1 1st
2023-04-30-40%4 2nds1 1st
2023-03-15+41%Malik Willis1 3rd

Read each row as: Derek Carr, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Mac Jones plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Derek Carr; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 21, the whole-deal value gap runs +33.6% from the side that received Derek Carr, so the side ending up with Derek Carr has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Derek Carr for Mac Jones fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 21 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Derek Carr trade · Every Mac Jones trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Research · Privacy · Terms