Derek Carr and Matthew Stafford have been on opposite sides of 28 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Derek Carr for Matthew Stafford, nothing else changing hands.
This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 6 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 4 of those 6 times it was the Derek Carr side (2 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Matthew Stafford as the more valuable of the two.
| Date | Margin | Went with Derek Carr | Went with Matthew Stafford |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-08 | +15% | 2 2nds | 1 3rd |
| 2024-12-11 | -20% | 1 3rd, 1 later pick | — |
| 2024-11-19 | +34% | Spencer Rattler, Blake Corum, Malik Washington, 5 more, 1 1st, 2 3rds, 1 later pick | Devaughn Vele, Zach Ertz, Keenan Allen, 6 more |
| 2024-10-11 | -23% | 1 3rd | 1 later pick |
| 2024-09-12 | +21% | A.J. Brown, Amon-Ra St. Brown | Mike Evans, Christian McCaffrey, Gus Edwards, 1 more, 1 3rd |
| 2024-08-05 | -75% | Spencer Rattler, 2 3rds | 1 2nd, 1 later pick |
| 2024-05-07 | -57% | — | — |
| 2024-04-17 | -57% | 1 1st, 1 2nd | Jonathan Taylor, 1 3rd |
| 2024-03-28 | +58% | Mike Evans, Nick Chubb, Jerome Ford | J.K. Dobbins, Marvin Mims, 1 2nd |
| 2024-03-09 | +29% | 1 2nd | 1 3rd |
Read each row as: Derek Carr, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Matthew Stafford plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Derek Carr; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 28, the whole-deal value gap runs +1.6% from the side that received Derek Carr - close to even. Read that as a measure of the entire trade, every piece included, not of these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is Derek Carr for Matthew Stafford fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 28 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every Derek Carr trade · Every Matthew Stafford trade
All players with real trade data →