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Is Deshaun Watson for Jalen Hurts fair?

Deshaun Watson and Jalen Hurts have been on opposite sides of 25 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 2 of them were straight up: Deshaun Watson for Jalen Hurts, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 7 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 4 of those 7 times it was the Jalen Hurts side (3 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Deshaun Watson as the more valuable of the two.

25
Deals they were both in
2
Straight up, one for one
3 / 4
One side sweetened: Deshaun Watson / Jalen Hurts

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Deshaun Watson prices at 37 and Jalen Hurts at 3,725, so the market currently rates Jalen Hurts about 100.7x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Deshaun WatsonWent with Jalen Hurts
2024-05-03-29%Tyler Huntley, 2 1sts, 1 2nd1 later pick
2024-04-30-30%Brock Purdy
2023-11-08-37%2 1stsRomeo Doubs
2023-10-16-13%2 1sts, 1 2nd
2023-10-10+4%Trevor Lawrence1 1st
2023-10-03-15%Amari Cooper, 1 1st1 2nd, 1 3rd
2023-08-09+12%Treylon Burks, Kenneth WalkerRashaad Penny, D'Andre Swift
2023-06-30+5%Michael Pittman, Pat Freiermuth, 1 2nd, 1 3rdKendrick Bourne, Devin Duvernay
2023-05-17-49%Joey Bosa, 1 1st, 1 3rd1 3rd
2023-05-02+6%D'Onta Foreman, 1 1st, 1 2nd1 3rd

Read each row as: Deshaun Watson, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Jalen Hurts plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Deshaun Watson; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 25, the whole-deal value gap runs -9.4% from the side that received Deshaun Watson, so the side ending up with Jalen Hurts has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Deshaun Watson for Jalen Hurts fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 25 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Deshaun Watson trade · Every Jalen Hurts trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms