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Is Dak Prescott for Jalen Hurts fair?

Dak Prescott and Jalen Hurts have been on opposite sides of 46 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 9 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 8 of those 9 times it was the Dak Prescott side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Jalen Hurts as the more valuable of the two.

46
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
8 / 1
One side sweetened: Dak Prescott / Jalen Hurts

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Dak Prescott prices at 1,462 and Jalen Hurts at 3,725, so the market currently rates Jalen Hurts about 2.5x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Dak PrescottWent with Jalen Hurts
2026-06-02-11%Brandin Cooks, Tua Tagovailoa, Jake Browning, 18 more, 1 1st, 1 3rdEfton Chism, Zach Ertz, Mecole Hardman, 10 more, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 2 later picks
2026-05-16-36%Chris Rodriguez, Isaac TeSlaa, Christian WatsonPat Bryant, Ollie Gordon, Michael Pittman
2026-04-02-27%2 2nds1 3rd, 1 later pick
2025-08-01-9%Quinshon Judkins, CeeDee LambOllie Gordon, Aaron Jones, A.J. Brown
2025-06-10-54%Terrance Ferguson, Cam Ward, 1 3rd, 1 later pickDavid Njoku, 1 2nd
2025-05-10-23%Mark Andrews, CeeDee LambDalton Kincaid, Chris Olave, 1 1st, 1 3rd
2025-03-30-15%Jaylen Warren, 1 1st
2025-03-29-22%1 1st
2025-02-01-36%Stefon Diggs, Chris Godwin, Chuba Hubbard1 2nd
2024-12-04+2%Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Josh Downs, 1 3rd

Read each row as: Dak Prescott, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Jalen Hurts plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Dak Prescott; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 46, the whole-deal value gap runs -10.4% from the side that received Dak Prescott, so the side ending up with Jalen Hurts has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Dak Prescott for Jalen Hurts fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 46 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Dak Prescott trade · Every Jalen Hurts trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms