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Is Jalen Hurts for Joe Burrow fair?

Jalen Hurts and Joe Burrow have been on opposite sides of 54 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Jalen Hurts for Joe Burrow, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 13 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 9 of those 13 times it was the Joe Burrow side (4 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Jalen Hurts as the more valuable of the two.

54
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
4 / 9
One side sweetened: Jalen Hurts / Joe Burrow

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Jalen Hurts prices at 3,725 and Joe Burrow at 3,751, so the market currently rates Joe Burrow about 1.0x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Jalen HurtsWent with Joe Burrow
2026-06-05+6%Oronde Gadsden, 1 2ndGreg Dulcich
2026-02-24+14%A.J. Brown1 1st, 2 2nds
2025-11-12+2%Kareem Hunt1 2nd, 1 3rd
2025-10-26-12%Josh Jacobs, David MontgomeryBucky Irving, Tahj Brooks, Joe Flacco, 3 more
2025-10-15+5%Derrick Henry, Alvin Kamara, Chris Godwin, 4 moreJayden Reed, Troy Franklin, Jalen Coker, 1 more, 2 1sts, 1 3rd, 1 later pick
2025-10-08+9%Chris Godwin, Dallas GoedertElijah Arroyo, Marvin Mims, 1 2nd
2025-10-02-32%Quinshon JudkinsBreece Hall, 1 1st
2025-10-01+4%1 2nd
2025-09-19-11%1 2nd1 1st
2025-09-17-2%1 2nd

Read each row as: Jalen Hurts, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Joe Burrow plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Jalen Hurts; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 54, the whole-deal value gap runs +2.0% from the side that received Jalen Hurts - close to even. Read that as a measure of the entire trade, every piece included, not of these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Jalen Hurts for Joe Burrow fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 54 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Jalen Hurts trade · Every Joe Burrow trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms