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Is Jalen Hurts for Justin Herbert fair?

Jalen Hurts and Justin Herbert have been on opposite sides of 58 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 2 of them were straight up: Jalen Hurts for Justin Herbert, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 8 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 7 of those 8 times it was the Justin Herbert side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Jalen Hurts as the more valuable of the two.

58
Deals they were both in
2
Straight up, one for one
1 / 7
One side sweetened: Jalen Hurts / Justin Herbert

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Jalen Hurts prices at 3,725 and Justin Herbert at 3,160, so the market currently rates Jalen Hurts about 1.2x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Jalen HurtsWent with Justin Herbert
2025-12-07-4%Terry McLaurin1 1st, 1 2nd
2025-11-23-3%Jaxson DartCedric Tillman, Bo Nix, Brandon Aiyuk
2025-09-18+25%Sam LaPorta, Marvin Harrison, Zach Ertz, 2 moreRome Odunze, Tucker Kraft, Jaxon Smith-Njigba
2025-09-18+50%Mark Andrews, DK MetcalfJuwan Johnson
2025-08-20+7%Tyrone TracyKaleb Johnson
2025-02-18-5%Khalil Shakir, 1 1st, 1 3rdRome Odunze, Jameson Williams, 1 2nd
2024-12-07-7%1 1st
2024-10-24-3%Matthew StaffordTank Dell, 1 1st, 1 3rd
2024-08-31-2%1 3rd1 1st, 1 2nd
2024-08-22+27%1 2nd

Read each row as: Jalen Hurts, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Justin Herbert plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Jalen Hurts; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 58, the whole-deal value gap runs +0.0% from the side that received Jalen Hurts - close to even. Read that as a measure of the entire trade, every piece included, not of these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Jalen Hurts for Justin Herbert fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 58 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Jalen Hurts trade · Every Justin Herbert trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms