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Is Deshaun Watson for Jared Goff fair?

Deshaun Watson and Jared Goff have been on opposite sides of 25 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 2 of them were straight up: Deshaun Watson for Jared Goff, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 10 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 9 of those 10 times it was the Jared Goff side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Deshaun Watson as the more valuable of the two.

25
Deals they were both in
2
Straight up, one for one
1 / 9
One side sweetened: Deshaun Watson / Jared Goff

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Deshaun Watson prices at 37 and Jared Goff at 884, so the market currently rates Jared Goff about 23.9x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Deshaun WatsonWent with Jared Goff
2024-11-09+14%Sam Darnold, Jaylen Waddle, Rashid Shaheed, 1 more, 1 1stRashee Rice, Bryce Young, 1 3rd
2024-10-01-72%1 2nd
2023-12-12-20%Christian Watson, 2 1stsTyreek Hill, Alvin Kamara
2023-11-30-29%
2023-11-21+16%CeeDee LambD'Andre Swift, Brian Robinson, Luke Musgrave
2023-11-20-63%
2023-11-18-37%Greg Dulcich, 1 2ndIsaiah Likely
2023-09-20+93%Jeff Wilson, 1 later pick
2023-09-13+36%Treylon Burks
2023-06-14+30%1 1st

Read each row as: Deshaun Watson, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Jared Goff plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Deshaun Watson; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 25, the whole-deal value gap runs +24.8% from the side that received Deshaun Watson, so the side ending up with Deshaun Watson has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Deshaun Watson for Jared Goff fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 25 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Deshaun Watson trade · Every Jared Goff trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms