Deshaun Watson and Tua Tagovailoa have been on opposite sides of 36 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 2 of them were straight up: Deshaun Watson for Tua Tagovailoa, nothing else changing hands.
This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 12 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 7 of those 12 times it was the Tua Tagovailoa side (5 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Deshaun Watson as the more valuable of the two.
Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Deshaun Watson prices at 37 and Tua Tagovailoa at 122, so the market currently rates Tua Tagovailoa about 3.3x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.
Values as of 2026-07-24.
| Date | Margin | Went with Deshaun Watson | Went with Tua Tagovailoa |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | -179% | Najee Harris | Dylan Sampson |
| 2025-06-15 | -4% | Joe Milton, Daniel Jones, Michael Wilson, 12 more | Kayshon Boutte, Allen Lazard, Sean Tucker, 9 more, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 3rd, 3 later picks |
| 2025-04-26 | +62% | Zach Charbonnet, 1 1st | — |
| 2024-07-31 | +15% | 1 1st | — |
| 2024-06-07 | -22% | Xavier Worthy | Keon Coleman |
| 2024-05-16 | -81% | 2 2nds | 1 1st |
| 2023-12-03 | -32% | 1 1st | — |
| 2023-11-24 | -8% | CeeDee Lamb | Jordan Addison |
| 2023-11-21 | -63% | Michael Gallup, Nico Collins | — |
| 2023-11-19 | -46% | 1 1st | Curtis Samuel, 1 3rd |
Read each row as: Deshaun Watson, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Tua Tagovailoa plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Deshaun Watson; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 36, the whole-deal value gap runs -4.0% from the side that received Deshaun Watson, so the side ending up with Tua Tagovailoa has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is Deshaun Watson for Tua Tagovailoa fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 36 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every Deshaun Watson trade · Every Tua Tagovailoa trade
All players with real trade data →