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Is Deshaun Watson for Russell Wilson fair?

Deshaun Watson and Russell Wilson have been on opposite sides of 33 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 4 of them were straight up: Deshaun Watson for Russell Wilson, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 5 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 3 of those 5 times it was the Deshaun Watson side (2 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Russell Wilson as the more valuable of the two.

33
Deals they were both in
4
Straight up, one for one
3 / 2
One side sweetened: Deshaun Watson / Russell Wilson
Grade Deshaun Watson for Russell Wilson now Scout your league

The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Deshaun WatsonWent with Russell Wilson
2025-05-19+24%DJ Moore, Juwan Johnson, 1 3rdJavonte Williams, Justin Fields, 1 later pick
2024-11-24+1%Jordan Howden, Cade Stover, Dallas Turner, 3 more, 1 2nd, 1 3rd, 1 later pickJordan Hicks, Josh Hines-Allen, Devin Singletary, 3 more
2024-10-27+143%Jakobi Meyers, 1 1st, 1 2ndNick Chubb
2024-10-22+40%1 1stEvan Engram
2024-09-19-38%Bo Nix, Elijah Mitchell, 1 2nd, 1 later pickDJ Moore, Aaron Rodgers, 2 1sts
2024-08-22-0%Amari CooperJakobi Meyers, 1 1st
2024-05-11+77%Ezekiel Elliott, Mike Williams1 2nd, 1 3rd, 1 later pick
2023-11-21+48%
2023-11-17+27%Rashee Rice, Travis Etienne, Greg Dulcich, 1 1stDalton Schultz, Tua Tagovailoa
2023-11-15+100%

Read each row as: Deshaun Watson, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Russell Wilson plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Deshaun Watson; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 33, the whole-deal value gap runs +8.9% from the side that received Deshaun Watson, so the side ending up with Deshaun Watson has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Deshaun Watson for Russell Wilson fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 33 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Deshaun Watson trade · Every Russell Wilson trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms