Deshaun Watson and Trey Lance have been on opposite sides of 26 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 3 of them were straight up: Deshaun Watson for Trey Lance, nothing else changing hands.
This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 4 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 3 of those 4 times it was the Trey Lance side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Deshaun Watson as the more valuable of the two.
Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Deshaun Watson prices at 35 and Trey Lance at 6, so the market currently rates Deshaun Watson about 5.8x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.
Values as of 2026-09-04.
| Date | Margin | Went with Deshaun Watson | Went with Trey Lance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-07 | +62% | Drew Lock, Javonte Williams | Jonathan Mingo, 1 1st |
| 2023-11-16 | +48% | — | Christian Watson |
| 2023-08-25 | +22% | — | Sam Darnold, C.J. Stroud |
| 2023-02-16 | -44% | Amari Cooper | 2 1sts |
| 2022-11-18 | +11% | Joe Mixon, D'Onta Foreman, Tyler Conklin, 1 more, 1 later pick | Elijah Moore, Pat Freiermuth, 1 1st, 1 2nd |
| 2022-11-08 | -31% | DeAndre Hopkins, Joe Mixon, Tyler Conklin | Kyle Pitts, Javonte Williams, Rachaad White, 1 2nd |
| 2022-10-18 | +16% | Antonio Gibson | Matt Ryan, AJ Dillon |
| 2022-10-04 | +12% | Kenny Gainwell | Kenneth Walker |
| 2022-09-23 | +30% | — | Jimmy Garoppolo |
| 2022-09-14 | -34% | Robbie Chosen, Saquon Barkley | Albert Okwuegbunam, Najee Harris |
Read each row as: Deshaun Watson, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Trey Lance plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Deshaun Watson; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 26, the whole-deal value gap runs +10.4% from the side that received Deshaun Watson, so the side ending up with Deshaun Watson has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is Deshaun Watson for Trey Lance fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 26 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every Deshaun Watson trade · Every Trey Lance trade
All players with real trade data →