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Is Garrett Wilson for Trevor Lawrence fair?

Garrett Wilson and Trevor Lawrence have been on opposite sides of 29 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 4 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 3 of those 4 times it was the Trevor Lawrence side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Garrett Wilson as the more valuable of the two.

29
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
1 / 3
One side sweetened: Garrett Wilson / Trevor Lawrence

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Garrett Wilson prices at 6,425 and Trevor Lawrence at 2,545, so the market currently rates Garrett Wilson about 2.5x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Garrett WilsonWent with Trevor Lawrence
2026-05-05-46%3 1stsJustin Jefferson, 1 2nd
2026-03-08-17%Tyson Bagent, Caleb Williams, Bucky Irving, 2 moreTyler Warren, CeeDee Lamb, Justin Jefferson, 1 more
2026-01-27+51%Alec Pierce, 1 1stTucker Kraft, 1 1st
2025-11-11-1%Quentin Johnston
2025-10-13+62%C.J. StroudCam Skattebo
2025-06-28-9%Geno Smith, Trey McBride, 1 2nd2 1sts, 1 2nd
2025-06-26+3%Jonathon Brooks, D'Andre Swift, Brock Purdy, 1 2ndXavier Worthy, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 later pick
2025-06-02+16%Josh Allen, Isaiah LikelyDK Metcalf, 2 1sts
2025-04-08+42%Kyler Murray, 1 2ndRicky Pearsall, Jameson Williams, 1 2nd
2025-03-28+25%1 3rd

Read each row as: Garrett Wilson, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Trevor Lawrence plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Garrett Wilson; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 29, the whole-deal value gap runs +3.7% from the side that received Garrett Wilson, so the side ending up with Garrett Wilson has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Garrett Wilson for Trevor Lawrence fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 29 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Garrett Wilson trade · Every Trevor Lawrence trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms