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Is Geno Smith for Jared Goff fair?

Geno Smith and Jared Goff have been on opposite sides of 21 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 2 of them were straight up: Geno Smith for Jared Goff, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 5 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 3 of those 5 times it was the Geno Smith side (2 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Jared Goff as the more valuable of the two.

21
Deals they were both in
2
Straight up, one for one
3 / 2
One side sweetened: Geno Smith / Jared Goff

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Geno Smith prices at 39 and Jared Goff at 878, so the market currently rates Jared Goff about 22.5x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-09-04.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Geno SmithWent with Jared Goff
2026-05-20-25%Darnell Mooney, 1 1st, 1 2ndGeorge Kittle, Kenny Gainwell
2025-09-16-10%Terry McLaurinHarold Fannin
2025-08-20-130%1 later pick
2025-05-14+28%Dalton Kincaid, 1 1st
2025-04-19-15%Jakobi Meyers, Breece Hall1 1st, 1 2nd
2024-10-30-5%DK Metcalf, Isiah Pacheco, 1 1st, 1 later pickChristian McCaffrey, George Kittle
2024-09-22+22%Jonathan TaylorMatthew Stafford, 3 2nds
2024-09-19-107%Kimani Vidal
2024-08-06-57%Jake Ferguson, 1 2ndCole Kmet
2024-07-30+8%DK Metcalf, DeMario DouglasDiontae Johnson

Read each row as: Geno Smith, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Jared Goff plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Geno Smith; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 21, the whole-deal value gap runs -12.7% from the side that received Geno Smith, so the side ending up with Jared Goff has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Geno Smith for Jared Goff fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 21 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Geno Smith trade · Every Jared Goff trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Research · Privacy · Terms