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Is Jared Goff for Matthew Stafford fair?

Jared Goff and Matthew Stafford have been on opposite sides of 36 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 5 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 3 of those 5 times it was the Matthew Stafford side (2 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Jared Goff as the more valuable of the two.

36
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
2 / 3
One side sweetened: Jared Goff / Matthew Stafford

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Jared Goff prices at 884 and Matthew Stafford at 371, so the market currently rates Jared Goff about 2.4x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Jared GoffWent with Matthew Stafford
2026-06-07+84%1 3rd
2025-09-03-5%Adam ThielenDK Metcalf
2025-08-10-33%Tory Horton, Stefon DiggsXavier Worthy, Brandon Aiyuk
2025-06-19+30%Colston Loveland, 1 later pickTyler Lockett, Tyreek Hill, Isaiah Likely
2025-04-23+44%Alvin Kamara, Baker Mayfield, Marquise Brown, 1 moreStefon Diggs, Dak Prescott, Chris Godwin, 1 more
2025-04-07+3%Chris Godwin, Colby Parkinson, Isaiah Likely, 2 moreMarvin Harrison, Cade Otton, Tucker Kraft, 1 1st, 1 2nd
2025-04-07+34%Isaiah Likely, Breece HallMarvin Harrison, Cade Otton
2025-02-23-0%James Cook, 1 2ndBreece Hall, Tucker Kraft, 1 3rd
2024-10-18+72%Terry McLaurin, Jonathan TaylorTank Bigsby, Quentin Johnston, Will Levis, 1 1st, 1 2nd
2024-05-29+59%Daniel Jones, Jakobi Meyers

Read each row as: Jared Goff, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Matthew Stafford plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Jared Goff; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 36, the whole-deal value gap runs +4.5% from the side that received Jared Goff, so the side ending up with Jared Goff has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Jared Goff for Matthew Stafford fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 36 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Jared Goff trade · Every Matthew Stafford trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms