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Is Jaylen Waddle for Lamar Jackson fair?

Jaylen Waddle and Lamar Jackson have been on opposite sides of 24 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 10 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 10 of those 10 times it was the Jaylen Waddle side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Lamar Jackson as the more valuable of the two.

24
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
10 / 0
One side sweetened: Jaylen Waddle / Lamar Jackson

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Jaylen Waddle prices at 4,624 and Lamar Jackson at 4,824, so the market currently rates Lamar Jackson about 1.0x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Jaylen WaddleWent with Lamar Jackson
2026-01-03+13%Bo Nix, J.J. McCarthy
2025-12-05+8%RJ Harvey, Josh Allen, 1 3rd, 1 later pickCam Skattebo, Travis Hunter, 1 1st, 1 2nd
2025-10-22+18%C.J. Stroud, 1 1st
2025-07-25-34%Russell Wilson, Jaxson Dart, Colston Loveland, 1 more, 1 2nd
2025-05-16+6%Anthony Richardson, 2 1sts
2025-05-09+17%Rome Odunze, Chris Olave, C.J. Stroud, 2 1stsDerrick Henry, Jahmyr Gibbs
2025-01-07+28%Caleb Williams, Bucky Irving, Amon-Ra St. Brown, 1 more, 1 2ndBijan Robinson, 1 2nd, 1 3rd
2024-11-06-17%Jared Goff, 1 2nd
2024-08-28-20%Deshaun Watson, Deebo SamuelStefon Diggs, 2 3rds
2024-08-25+40%Patrick Mahomes, Chris Olave, 1 1stDeAndre Hopkins, Aaron Jones, De'Von Achane, 1 2nd

Read each row as: Jaylen Waddle, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Lamar Jackson plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Jaylen Waddle; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 24, the whole-deal value gap runs +9.6% from the side that received Jaylen Waddle, so the side ending up with Jaylen Waddle has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Jaylen Waddle for Lamar Jackson fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 24 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Jaylen Waddle trade · Every Lamar Jackson trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms