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Is J.J. McCarthy for Patrick Mahomes fair?

J.J. McCarthy and Patrick Mahomes have been on opposite sides of 20 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 5 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 5 of those 5 times it was the J.J. McCarthy side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Patrick Mahomes as the more valuable of the two.

20
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
5 / 0
One side sweetened: J.J. McCarthy / Patrick Mahomes

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today J.J. McCarthy prices at 95 and Patrick Mahomes at 4,309, so the market currently rates Patrick Mahomes about 45.4x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with J.J. McCarthyWent with Patrick Mahomes
2026-07-26-80%Ty Simpson, 1 1st1 3rd
2026-06-27-76%Jonathon Brooks, Denzel Boston, 1 1st, 1 2ndJacory Croskey-Merritt, David Njoku
2026-06-05-47%Bucky Irving, Erick All, Zach Ertz, 9 more, 1 3rdKyle Pitts, Jayden Reed, Brian Robinson, 9 more, 3 1sts, 1 2nd
2025-11-14-54%Michael Penix, 1 1st, 1 later pickTravis Kelce, Tua Tagovailoa
2025-11-14-44%Cam Skattebo, 1 1st, 1 2ndTravis Kelce, Derrick Henry
2025-11-04-36%Terrance Ferguson, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 2 3rds, 3 later picks
2025-10-06-35%Trey Benson, Jack Bech, Travis Hunter, 1 more, 1 2ndJonathan Taylor
2025-09-26-76%Khalil Shakir, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 later pickTony Pollard, Breece Hall
2025-06-03-21%Justin Jefferson, John Metchie, Tank BigsbyXavier Worthy, DJ Giddens, Tee Higgins
2025-06-03-48%Dalton KincaidCole Kmet

Read each row as: J.J. McCarthy, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Patrick Mahomes plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received J.J. McCarthy; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 20, the whole-deal value gap runs -47.5% from the side that received J.J. McCarthy, so the side ending up with Patrick Mahomes has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is J.J. McCarthy for Patrick Mahomes fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 20 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every J.J. McCarthy trade · Every Patrick Mahomes trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms