Kyler Murray and Patrick Mahomes have been on opposite sides of 45 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Kyler Murray for Patrick Mahomes, nothing else changing hands.
This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 14 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 14 of those 14 times it was the Kyler Murray side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Patrick Mahomes as the more valuable of the two.
Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Kyler Murray prices at 505 and Patrick Mahomes at 4,309, so the market currently rates Patrick Mahomes about 8.5x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.
Values as of 2026-07-24.
| Date | Margin | Went with Kyler Murray | Went with Patrick Mahomes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | -45% | Chris Rodriguez, Omarion Hampton, Tyreek Hill, 6 more, 1 1st, 1 2nd | MarShawn Lloyd, Tyrone Tracy, Jordan James, 9 more, 1 2nd |
| 2026-05-19 | -63% | Jake Tonges, Jaylen Waddle, TreVeyon Henderson, 9 more | Jerry Jeudy, Brian Robinson, Trey Benson, 15 more |
| 2025-06-24 | -24% | Trey Benson, Dak Prescott, 1 1st | Jordan Love |
| 2025-06-24 | -42% | — | — |
| 2025-06-12 | -21% | Cole Kmet, Travis Etienne, Rashod Bateman | — |
| 2025-05-24 | -16% | Rashod Bateman, 1 1st, 1 2nd | Joe Mixon, 1 later pick |
| 2025-05-17 | -44% | 1 1st | 1 1st |
| 2025-05-14 | +33% | Rome Odunze, Jaylen Wright, Mark Andrews, 6 more, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 3rd | Russell Wilson, Davante Adams, Derrick Henry, 6 more, 1 3rd, 1 later pick |
| 2025-05-05 | -16% | Tyreek Hill, 1 3rd | Khalil Shakir |
| 2025-04-01 | +1% | Brian Thomas, Sam Darnold, Terry McLaurin, 1 more, 1 2nd | Jalen Hurts |
Read each row as: Kyler Murray, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Patrick Mahomes plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Kyler Murray; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 45, the whole-deal value gap runs -6.2% from the side that received Kyler Murray, so the side ending up with Patrick Mahomes has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is Kyler Murray for Patrick Mahomes fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 45 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every Kyler Murray trade · Every Patrick Mahomes trade
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