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Is Justin Fields for Patrick Mahomes fair?

Justin Fields and Patrick Mahomes have been on opposite sides of 37 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 11 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 11 of those 11 times it was the Justin Fields side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Patrick Mahomes as the more valuable of the two.

37
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
11 / 0
One side sweetened: Justin Fields / Patrick Mahomes

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Justin Fields prices at 21 and Patrick Mahomes at 4,229, so the market currently rates Patrick Mahomes about 201.4x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-09-04.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Justin FieldsWent with Patrick Mahomes
2025-09-18-54%Bhayshul Tuten, Chris Olave, 2 1stsSaquon Barkley, David Montgomery, Terry McLaurin
2025-07-21-83%J.K. Dobbins, 1 1st
2025-05-04-8%Tony Pollard, Brandon Aiyuk, Zay Flowers
2025-04-29-62%Nick Chubb, Deebo Samuel, Stone Smartt, 1 1stCam Skattebo
2024-10-17-5%DK Metcalf, Kenneth WalkerKeon Coleman, 1 2nd
2024-10-13-149%Bucky IrvingTyler Conklin
2024-10-10+4%Anthony Richardson
2024-03-15+0%Deshaun Watson, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 3rd1 1st
2024-03-09+23%Baker Mayfield, Jaylen Waddle, James Cook, 1 2ndJosh Jacobs
2023-11-21-61%1 1st1 2nd

Read each row as: Justin Fields, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Patrick Mahomes plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Justin Fields; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 37, the whole-deal value gap runs -6.6% from the side that received Justin Fields, so the side ending up with Patrick Mahomes has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Justin Fields for Patrick Mahomes fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 37 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Justin Fields trade · Every Patrick Mahomes trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Research · Privacy · Terms