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Is Justin Jefferson for Puka Nacua fair?

Justin Jefferson and Puka Nacua have been on opposite sides of 35 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Justin Jefferson for Puka Nacua, nothing else changing hands.

In 8 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 4 to 4 between the Justin Jefferson side and the Puka Nacua side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.

35
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
4 / 4
One side sweetened: Justin Jefferson / Puka Nacua

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Justin Jefferson prices at 9,184 and Puka Nacua at 9,055, so the market currently rates Justin Jefferson about 1.0x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-09-04.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Justin JeffersonWent with Puka Nacua
2026-03-16+1%
2026-03-05+36%Michael Wilson, Travis Etienne
2025-12-19+56%Rome Odunze
2025-12-09+55%Emeka EgbukaMichael Wilson, 1 2nd
2025-12-07+23%J.K. Dobbins, 1 2nd, 1 later pick
2025-12-04+27%Sam LaPorta, 1 1st, 1 3rdTyler Warren
2025-12-02+20%Jayden DanielsBaker Mayfield, 1 2nd
2025-11-30+42%Chimere Dike, 1 1stDevin Neal
2025-10-21+29%Harold Fannin1 2nd
2025-10-08+45%Michael Penix, Derrick HenrySpencer Rattler, Malik Washington, 1 2nd, 1 3rd

Read each row as: Justin Jefferson, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Puka Nacua plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Justin Jefferson; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 35, the whole-deal value gap runs +9.4% from the side that received Justin Jefferson, so the side ending up with Justin Jefferson has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Justin Jefferson for Puka Nacua fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 35 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Justin Jefferson trade · Every Puka Nacua trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Research · Privacy · Terms