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Is Kirk Cousins for Trevor Lawrence fair?

Kirk Cousins and Trevor Lawrence have been on opposite sides of 30 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 5 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 5 of those 5 times it was the Kirk Cousins side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Trevor Lawrence as the more valuable of the two.

30
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
5 / 0
One side sweetened: Kirk Cousins / Trevor Lawrence

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Kirk Cousins prices at 25 and Trevor Lawrence at 2,545, so the market currently rates Trevor Lawrence about 101.8x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Kirk CousinsWent with Trevor Lawrence
2026-05-22+11%Fernando Mendoza, Nico Collins, 1 2ndRiley Leonard, Parker Washington, 1 2nd
2026-04-24-59%Geno Smith, Zay FlowersDeebo Samuel, DeMario Douglas
2026-01-26-48%Malik Willis, 1 1st1 1st
2025-11-30+18%A.J. Brown, 1 later pickMichael Wilson
2025-09-04-10%Dak Prescott, David NjokuDillon Gabriel, Nick Chubb, Pat Freiermuth
2025-08-27-30%Tai Felton, Isaac TeSlaa, 2 1sts, 2 2nds, 2 3rds, 4 later picksCourtland Sutton, Jake Ferguson, Isiah Pacheco, 1 more
2025-05-21-74%Travis Kelce, Tony Pollard, 1 2ndTyler Conklin
2024-12-10-58%Tua Tagovailoa, Cade OttonJalen McMillan, Derek Carr, 1 1st, 1 2nd
2024-12-09+25%Tee Higgins, Jonathan TaylorDJ Moore, Tank Bigsby, 1 2nd
2024-11-14-55%Travis Kelce, George Kittle1 1st

Read each row as: Kirk Cousins, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Trevor Lawrence plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Kirk Cousins; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 30, the whole-deal value gap runs -21.9% from the side that received Kirk Cousins, so the side ending up with Trevor Lawrence has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Kirk Cousins for Trevor Lawrence fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 30 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Kirk Cousins trade · Every Trevor Lawrence trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms