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Is Kyler Murray for Russell Wilson fair?

Kyler Murray and Russell Wilson have been on opposite sides of 32 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 5 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 4 of those 5 times it was the Russell Wilson side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Kyler Murray as the more valuable of the two.

32
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
1 / 4
One side sweetened: Kyler Murray / Russell Wilson
Grade Kyler Murray for Russell Wilson now Scout your league

The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Kyler MurrayWent with Russell Wilson
2025-09-17-9%2 1sts, 1 2nd, 1 3rdJordan Love, Trey McBride
2025-06-12+60%Xavier Hutchinson, Jonathan Mingo, Jaleel McLaughlin, 15 more, 1 1st, 1 3rd, 1 later pickSpencer Rattler, Keenan Allen, Hunter Henry, 9 more, 1 3rd, 3 later picks
2025-05-14+33%Rome Odunze, Jaylen Wright, Mark Andrews, 6 more, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 3rdDavante Adams, Derrick Henry, Cooper Kupp, 6 more, 1 3rd, 1 later pick
2025-03-30+44%Pat FreiermuthGeno Smith, Christian Kirk, T.J. Hockenson, 1 3rd, 2 later picks
2024-11-26+5%2 1stsAmon-Ra St. Brown
2024-11-22+63%Jordan AddisonTee Higgins, Najee Harris, 1 2nd
2024-09-23-16%Tommy Tremble, 2 3rdsTrevor Lawrence, 1 1st
2024-05-09+24%Melvin Gordon, Kyle Pitts, Jaylen Waddle, 19 moreNoah Gray, Sam Darnold, K.J. Osborn, 16 more, 3 1sts, 2 2nds, 1 3rd, 1 later pick
2024-05-05-21%2 2ndsJustin Fields, Tucker Kraft, 1 1st, 1 3rd
2023-11-18-44%1 1st, 1 3rdSaquon Barkley, 1 2nd

Read each row as: Kyler Murray, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Russell Wilson plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Kyler Murray; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 32, the whole-deal value gap runs +22.5% from the side that received Kyler Murray, so the side ending up with Kyler Murray has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Kyler Murray for Russell Wilson fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 32 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Kyler Murray trade · Every Russell Wilson trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms