Read Option

Is Kyler Murray for Sam Darnold fair?

Kyler Murray and Sam Darnold have been on opposite sides of 20 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Kyler Murray for Sam Darnold, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 4 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 4 of those 4 times it was the Sam Darnold side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Kyler Murray as the more valuable of the two.

20
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
0 / 4
One side sweetened: Kyler Murray / Sam Darnold

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Kyler Murray prices at 505 and Sam Darnold at 439, so the market currently rates Kyler Murray about 1.2x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

Grade Kyler Murray for Sam Darnold now Scout your league

The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Kyler MurrayWent with Sam Darnold
2026-05-17+19%Cooper Rush, Ja'Marr Chase, Jalen Tolbert, 19 more, 1 2nd, 2 3rds, 1 later pickDevin Singletary, Michael Wilson, Jimmy Garoppolo, 17 more, 2 1sts, 1 later pick
2026-04-04-1%Harold Fannin, Joe Mixon, Josh Downs, 1 3rdJalen Milroe, Kyle Pitts, 1 2nd
2026-03-18+3%Quinshon JudkinsBhayshul Tuten, 1 2nd
2026-03-15+8%
2026-03-03+7%Audric Estime
2025-10-11+109%Travis EtienneTony Pollard, 1 3rd
2025-05-06+113%Isaiah Likely
2025-05-02+30%1 1stBijan Robinson, 1 later pick
2025-04-15+66%Bryce Young
2025-04-06+85%Parker WashingtonTyrone Tracy

Read each row as: Kyler Murray, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Sam Darnold plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Kyler Murray; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 20, the whole-deal value gap runs +23.4% from the side that received Kyler Murray, so the side ending up with Kyler Murray has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Kyler Murray for Sam Darnold fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 20 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Kyler Murray trade · Every Sam Darnold trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms