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Is Kyler Murray for T.J. Hockenson fair?

Kyler Murray and T.J. Hockenson have been on opposite sides of 23 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

In 2 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 0 to 2 between the Kyler Murray side and the T.J. Hockenson side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.

23
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
0 / 2
One side sweetened: Kyler Murray / T.J. Hockenson

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Kyler Murray prices at 505 and T.J. Hockenson at 197, so the market currently rates Kyler Murray about 2.6x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Kyler MurrayWent with T.J. Hockenson
2025-07-26-7%TreVeyon Henderson, Kyle Pitts, Chris OlaveTua Tagovailoa, Brandon Aiyuk, Javonte Williams, 1 more
2025-05-17+8%Marvin Harrison, George Pickens, 2 1sts, 1 2nd, 1 3rd, 1 later pickJoe Mixon, Alvin Kamara, Josh Jacobs, 1 more
2025-03-30+44%Pat FreiermuthRussell Wilson, Geno Smith, Christian Kirk, 1 3rd, 2 later picks
2024-11-26+20%Luke Musgrave, Tucker KraftSam Darnold, 1 1st
2024-10-17+7%Kyle PittsAnthony Richardson, 1 3rd
2024-09-25+8%Kenneth Walker, 1 later pickJordan Love, 2 2nds
2024-06-12+6%Dallas Goedert, Chris OlaveLamar Jackson, 1 2nd
2024-05-02-10%Amari Cooper, Mark Andrews, 1 later pickJoe Burrow, Jahan Dotson, 1 2nd
2024-03-28-3%Justin Jefferson, Cade Otton, Keaton MitchellJonathan Taylor, Nico Collins, Bryce Young, 1 1st
2024-02-12-21%1 1stJoe Burrow

Read each row as: Kyler Murray, plus anything in the third column, was traded for T.J. Hockenson plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Kyler Murray; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 23, the whole-deal value gap runs +6.3% from the side that received Kyler Murray, so the side ending up with Kyler Murray has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Kyler Murray for T.J. Hockenson fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 23 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Kyler Murray trade · Every T.J. Hockenson trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms