Kyler Murray and Tua Tagovailoa have been on opposite sides of 34 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.
In 2 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 1 to 1 between the Kyler Murray side and the Tua Tagovailoa side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.
Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Kyler Murray prices at 505 and Tua Tagovailoa at 122, so the market currently rates Kyler Murray about 4.1x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.
Values as of 2026-07-24.
| Date | Margin | Went with Kyler Murray | Went with Tua Tagovailoa |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | +52% | J.J. McCarthy, Jalen McMillan, 2 2nds | Oronde Gadsden, Mason Taylor |
| 2025-12-28 | +52% | J.J. McCarthy, Jalen McMillan, 2 2nds | Oronde Gadsden, Mason Taylor |
| 2025-11-15 | +11% | 1 3rd | Josh Downs |
| 2025-11-14 | +0% | Kenneth Walker, 2 2nds, 1 3rd | Christian McCaffrey |
| 2025-09-09 | +60% | Caleb Williams | 2 1sts, 2 2nds |
| 2025-08-24 | +50% | Stefon Diggs, George Kittle | Pat Bryant, Chris Godwin, Chris Olave |
| 2025-07-26 | -7% | TreVeyon Henderson, Kyle Pitts, Chris Olave | T.J. Hockenson, Brandon Aiyuk, Javonte Williams, 1 more |
| 2025-06-01 | +23% | Jalen Royals, Calvin Ridley | Terrance Ferguson, DK Metcalf |
| 2025-04-09 | -24% | Mike Evans, James Conner, 1 1st | Jaylen Waddle, Anthony Richardson, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 later pick |
| 2025-03-19 | +12% | Joe Mixon, Chris Olave | George Pickens, Chase Brown |
Read each row as: Kyler Murray, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Tua Tagovailoa plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Kyler Murray; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 34, the whole-deal value gap runs +20.1% from the side that received Kyler Murray, so the side ending up with Kyler Murray has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is Kyler Murray for Tua Tagovailoa fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 34 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every Kyler Murray trade · Every Tua Tagovailoa trade
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