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Is Lamar Jackson for Trevor Lawrence fair?

Lamar Jackson and Trevor Lawrence have been on opposite sides of 40 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Lamar Jackson for Trevor Lawrence, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 13 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 12 of those 13 times it was the Trevor Lawrence side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Lamar Jackson as the more valuable of the two.

40
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
1 / 12
One side sweetened: Lamar Jackson / Trevor Lawrence

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Lamar Jackson prices at 4,824 and Trevor Lawrence at 2,545, so the market currently rates Lamar Jackson about 1.9x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Lamar JacksonWent with Trevor Lawrence
2026-05-06+0%Michael PittmanLadd McConkey
2026-03-22-34%Isiah Pacheco1 1st, 2 2nds
2026-03-09-48%2 1sts, 1 2nd
2025-11-09+7%Jacory Croskey-MerrittAdonai Mitchell, 2 1sts, 1 2nd
2025-11-09+14%Brian Thomas
2025-10-26-42%Caleb Williams, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 3rd, 2 later picks
2025-09-30+1%Brock Purdy, 1 2ndJosh Allen
2025-05-13-1%Xavier WorthyIsiah Pacheco, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, 1 1st
2024-10-03+7%Nick Chubb, Cole KmetMark Andrews, J.K. Dobbins, Dontayvion Wicks, 1 1st, 1 3rd
2024-09-28-2%Drake Maye, 1 1st

Read each row as: Lamar Jackson, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Trevor Lawrence plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Lamar Jackson; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 40, the whole-deal value gap runs +2.6% from the side that received Lamar Jackson - close to even. Read that as a measure of the entire trade, every piece included, not of these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Lamar Jackson for Trevor Lawrence fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 40 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Lamar Jackson trade · Every Trevor Lawrence trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms