Matthew Stafford and Trevor Lawrence have been on opposite sides of 40 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 2 of them were straight up: Matthew Stafford for Trevor Lawrence, nothing else changing hands.
This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 9 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 8 of those 9 times it was the Matthew Stafford side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Trevor Lawrence as the more valuable of the two.
Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Matthew Stafford prices at 311 and Trevor Lawrence at 2,757, so the market currently rates Trevor Lawrence about 8.9x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.
Values as of 2026-09-04.
| Date | Margin | Went with Matthew Stafford | Went with Trevor Lawrence |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | -86% | Derrick Henry | — |
| 2026-08-20 | +52% | Isaac TeSlaa, Davante Adams, Baker Mayfield, 14 more, 1 3rd | Oronde Gadsden, Colston Loveland, Lamar Jackson, 12 more |
| 2026-07-31 | -39% | Sam Darnold, Deebo Samuel, Sean Tucker, 10 more, 1 2nd, 2 3rds, 3 later picks | Jake Tonges, Jalen Tolbert, Tyler Warren, 14 more, 1 later pick |
| 2026-06-08 | -41% | Tee Higgins | — |
| 2026-04-11 | -25% | De'Von Achane | Kyren Williams |
| 2026-03-03 | -49% | Derrick Henry, Trey McBride | Darren Waller, David Montgomery, George Pickens, 1 more |
| 2026-02-24 | +37% | Christian McCaffrey, 1 1st, 1 2nd | RJ Harvey |
| 2025-11-16 | -97% | — | — |
| 2025-09-27 | -148% | Cooper Kupp | Travis Hunter, Tony Pollard |
| 2025-08-09 | -40% | Josh Jacobs, Brandon Aiyuk | Jordan Addison, 1 1st, 1 2nd |
Read each row as: Matthew Stafford, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Trevor Lawrence plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Matthew Stafford; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 40, the whole-deal value gap runs -26.5% from the side that received Matthew Stafford, so the side ending up with Trevor Lawrence has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is Matthew Stafford for Trevor Lawrence fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 40 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every Matthew Stafford trade · Every Trevor Lawrence trade
All players with real trade data →