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Is Noah Fant for T.J. Hockenson fair?

Noah Fant and T.J. Hockenson have been on opposite sides of 22 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

In 3 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 3 to 0 between the Noah Fant side and the T.J. Hockenson side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.

22
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
3 / 0
One side sweetened: Noah Fant / T.J. Hockenson

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Noah Fant prices at 5 and T.J. Hockenson at 185, so the market currently rates T.J. Hockenson about 37.0x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-09-04.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Noah FantWent with T.J. Hockenson
2024-12-01+25%Jayden DanielsJ.J. McCarthy, 1 3rd
2024-10-31-62%Christian Watson, 2 2ndsJosh Downs
2024-09-20+20%Demarcus Robinson, Trevor LawrenceJerry Jeudy, 1 1st
2024-04-30-31%1 1stTank Dell, 1 2nd
2023-11-12-12%Kyler Murray1 2nd
2023-08-12-52%Deshaun Watson, Calvin Ridley, Kendre MillerJerry Jeudy, Justin Fields
2023-02-23+56%2 2nds, 1 3rd1 3rd
2022-11-10-72%Marcus Mariota, D'Onta Foreman1 3rd
2022-09-19-28%Adam Thielen, Amari Cooper, Noah Brown, 2 moreDalvin Cook, Aaron Jones
2022-08-30+58%James Cook, 1 1st1 2nd

Read each row as: Noah Fant, plus anything in the third column, was traded for T.J. Hockenson plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Noah Fant; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 22, the whole-deal value gap runs -11.8% from the side that received Noah Fant, so the side ending up with T.J. Hockenson has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Noah Fant for T.J. Hockenson fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 22 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Noah Fant trade · Every T.J. Hockenson trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Research · Privacy · Terms