Patrick Mahomes and Tua Tagovailoa have been on opposite sides of 36 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.
This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 10 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 10 of those 10 times it was the Tua Tagovailoa side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Patrick Mahomes as the more valuable of the two.
Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Patrick Mahomes prices at 4,309 and Tua Tagovailoa at 122, so the market currently rates Patrick Mahomes about 35.3x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.
Values as of 2026-07-24.
| Date | Margin | Went with Patrick Mahomes | Went with Tua Tagovailoa |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | +38% | Tre Tucker, Jalen McMillan, Nick Nash, 11 more, 1 2nd | Roschon Johnson, Dalton Kincaid, Cedric Tillman, 10 more, 1 2nd, 1 later pick |
| 2025-07-28 | +63% | Xavier Restrepo, Dont'e Thornton, 1 3rd | Davante Adams, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Joshua Palmer, 1 more, 2 2nds |
| 2025-04-28 | +16% | — | Chris Godwin, 1 1st, 3 2nds |
| 2025-02-27 | +40% | Terry McLaurin, 1 1st | Tyreek Hill, Sam Darnold, Jaylen Waddle, 1 more |
| 2025-01-12 | +77% | Jacob Cowing, T.J. Hockenson, Chris Godwin, 20 more, 2 3rds, 1 later pick | Jauan Jennings, Michael Wilson, Cooper Rush, 15 more, 1 later pick |
| 2025-01-11 | +51% | Kenny Gainwell | Ricky Pearsall, Chuba Hubbard, 1 2nd, 1 3rd |
| 2024-12-02 | +28% | — | Jaylen Waddle, 1 3rd |
| 2024-10-08 | +73% | — | Elijah Moore, 1 1st, 1 later pick |
| 2024-10-01 | +54% | Kirk Cousins, Chris Godwin | Jayden Reed, T.J. Hockenson, Daniel Jones |
| 2024-09-28 | +63% | — | 1 1st |
Read each row as: Patrick Mahomes, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Tua Tagovailoa plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Patrick Mahomes; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 36, the whole-deal value gap runs +23.3% from the side that received Patrick Mahomes, so the side ending up with Patrick Mahomes has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is Patrick Mahomes for Tua Tagovailoa fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 36 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every Patrick Mahomes trade · Every Tua Tagovailoa trade
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