Trey Lance and Zach Wilson have been on opposite sides of 21 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Trey Lance for Zach Wilson, nothing else changing hands.
This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 5 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 3 of those 5 times it was the Zach Wilson side (2 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Trey Lance as the more valuable of the two.
Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Trey Lance prices at 3 and Zach Wilson at 3, so the market currently rates Trey Lance about 1.0x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.
Values as of 2026-07-24.
| Date | Margin | Went with Trey Lance | Went with Zach Wilson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-08-05 | -50% | Khalil Shakir, Brock Purdy | Darren Waller, Javonte Williams |
| 2023-07-08 | -92% | Sam Darnold, Davis Mills, Brock Purdy, 1 2nd, 1 3rd | Kirk Cousins, Dak Prescott, Chig Okonkwo |
| 2022-11-16 | +35% | T.J. Hockenson, Isiah Pacheco, Haason Reddick, 13 more, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 3rd | Pierre Strong, Rondale Moore, Jaycee Horn, 13 more |
| 2022-11-13 | -31% | — | Dameon Pierce |
| 2022-10-26 | +67% | Greg Dulcich | Daniel Bellinger |
| 2022-09-30 | +58% | — | — |
| 2022-09-24 | +56% | Darnell Mooney, Jahan Dotson | Elijah Moore |
| 2022-08-09 | +39% | Rachaad White, Skyy Moore | Jacoby Brissett, Nyheim Miller-Hines, Elijah Moore |
| 2022-08-08 | +73% | — | 1 2nd |
| 2022-06-05 | +40% | Rashod Bateman, Jalen Tolbert | Garrett Wilson |
Read each row as: Trey Lance, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Zach Wilson plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Trey Lance; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 21, the whole-deal value gap runs +27.9% from the side that received Trey Lance, so the side ending up with Trey Lance has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is Trey Lance for Zach Wilson fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 21 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every Trey Lance trade · Every Zach Wilson trade
All players with real trade data →