Russell Wilson and Trey Lance have been on opposite sides of 33 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 4 of them were straight up: Russell Wilson for Trey Lance, nothing else changing hands.
This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 6 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 4 of those 6 times it was the Russell Wilson side (2 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Trey Lance as the more valuable of the two.
| Date | Margin | Went with Russell Wilson | Went with Trey Lance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | -19% | Devontez Walker, Davis Mills, Daniel Jones, 15 more, 1 1st | Jerry Jeudy, Efton Chism, Rachaad White, 17 more |
| 2024-10-26 | +72% | Tyler Lockett, Colby Parkinson, Jake Ferguson | Spencer Rattler, Jermaine Burton, Tyrone Tracy, 2 3rds |
| 2023-09-19 | +120% | Jahan Dotson, 2 later picks | Gunner Olszewski, Noah Gray, 2 2nds |
| 2023-08-25 | +12% | — | 1 2nd |
| 2023-07-09 | -32% | Kendre Miller | Jahan Dotson |
| 2023-06-20 | +3% | — | — |
| 2023-06-04 | -53% | Irv Smith | Brock Purdy |
| 2023-06-02 | +111% | Terry McLaurin, Rhamondre Stevenson | 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 3rd |
| 2023-03-31 | -76% | — | 1 2nd |
| 2023-03-13 | +13% | Saquon Barkley | 1 1st, 1 2nd |
Read each row as: Russell Wilson, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Trey Lance plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Russell Wilson; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 33, the whole-deal value gap runs -0.8% from the side that received Russell Wilson - close to even. Read that as a measure of the entire trade, every piece included, not of these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is Russell Wilson for Trey Lance fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 33 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every Russell Wilson trade · Every Trey Lance trade
All players with real trade data →