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Is Aaron Rodgers for Dak Prescott fair?

Aaron Rodgers and Dak Prescott have been on opposite sides of 25 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 8 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 7 of those 8 times it was the Aaron Rodgers side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Dak Prescott as the more valuable of the two.

25
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
7 / 1
One side sweetened: Aaron Rodgers / Dak Prescott

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Aaron Rodgers prices at 41 and Dak Prescott at 1,462, so the market currently rates Dak Prescott about 35.7x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Aaron RodgersWent with Dak Prescott
2025-04-29-167%1 3rd, 1 later pick
2024-12-21-28%Nico CollinsMarShawn Lloyd, Brandon Aiyuk, Justin Fields
2024-12-10-91%Cooper KuppRoschon Johnson
2023-12-09-12%Deshaun Watson, 1 1st, 1 2nd
2023-10-13-32%Gardner Minshew, Breece HallCeeDee Lamb
2023-10-09-93%2 2nds
2023-09-26-13%Jordan Love, Marvin Mims, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 3rdGeno Smith, Quentin Johnston
2023-05-29-49%DeAndre Hopkins, D'Andre SwiftPat Freiermuth
2023-05-29-19%Matthew Stafford, 1 1st
2023-05-23-17%1 1stDeAndre Hopkins

Read each row as: Aaron Rodgers, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Dak Prescott plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Aaron Rodgers; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 25, the whole-deal value gap runs -26.7% from the side that received Aaron Rodgers, so the side ending up with Dak Prescott has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Aaron Rodgers for Dak Prescott fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 25 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Aaron Rodgers trade · Every Dak Prescott trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms