Aaron Rodgers and Deshaun Watson have been on opposite sides of 31 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Aaron Rodgers for Deshaun Watson, nothing else changing hands.
This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 5 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 5 of those 5 times it was the Aaron Rodgers side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Deshaun Watson as the more valuable of the two.
Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Aaron Rodgers prices at 29 and Deshaun Watson at 35, so the market currently rates Deshaun Watson about 1.2x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.
Values as of 2026-09-04.
| Date | Margin | Went with Aaron Rodgers | Went with Deshaun Watson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | -19% | Sam Darnold, Devin Singletary, Michael Wilson, 17 more, 2 1sts, 1 later pick | Cooper Rush, Ja'Marr Chase, Jalen Tolbert, 19 more, 1 2nd, 2 3rds, 1 later pick |
| 2025-06-08 | -6% | Andrei Iosivas, Chig Okonkwo, 1 3rd | Tank Dell, 1 2nd, 1 3rd |
| 2024-11-15 | +83% | Kirk Cousins, Nick Chubb | Xavier Hutchinson, Kendrick Bourne, Mecole Hardman, 1 2nd, 1 later pick |
| 2024-09-19 | +38% | Russell Wilson, DJ Moore, 2 1sts | Bo Nix, Elijah Mitchell, 1 2nd, 1 later pick |
| 2024-09-18 | -66% | Derek Carr, Gabe Davis | Joshua Palmer, Zamir White |
| 2024-09-18 | +80% | Bo Nix, Rome Odunze, Calvin Ridley | Brian Thomas, 1 2nd |
| 2024-08-21 | -21% | Keenan Allen, Nick Chubb | Joe Milton, 1 1st |
| 2024-08-13 | -5% | DJ Moore, Dallas Goedert, Rhamondre Stevenson, 1 more | Michael Mayer, 2 1sts |
| 2024-05-13 | -129% | Keenan Allen, Calvin Ridley, Gus Edwards | 3 1sts |
| 2024-04-18 | +149% | 1 1st | — |
Read each row as: Aaron Rodgers, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Deshaun Watson plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Aaron Rodgers; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 31, the whole-deal value gap runs -2.0% from the side that received Aaron Rodgers - close to even. Read that as a measure of the entire trade, every piece included, not of these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is Aaron Rodgers for Deshaun Watson fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 31 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every Aaron Rodgers trade · Every Deshaun Watson trade
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