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Is Aaron Rodgers for Deshaun Watson fair?

Aaron Rodgers and Deshaun Watson have been on opposite sides of 27 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Aaron Rodgers for Deshaun Watson, nothing else changing hands.

In 3 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 3 to 0 between the Aaron Rodgers side and the Deshaun Watson side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.

27
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
3 / 0
One side sweetened: Aaron Rodgers / Deshaun Watson

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Aaron Rodgers prices at 41 and Deshaun Watson at 37, so the market currently rates Aaron Rodgers about 1.1x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Aaron RodgersWent with Deshaun Watson
2026-05-17-19%Sam Darnold, Devin Singletary, Michael Wilson, 17 more, 2 1sts, 1 later pickCooper Rush, Ja'Marr Chase, Jalen Tolbert, 19 more, 1 2nd, 2 3rds, 1 later pick
2025-06-08-6%Andrei Iosivas, Chig Okonkwo, 1 3rdTank Dell, 1 2nd, 1 3rd
2024-11-15+83%Kirk Cousins, Nick ChubbXavier Hutchinson, Kendrick Bourne, Mecole Hardman, 1 2nd, 1 later pick
2024-09-19+38%Russell Wilson, DJ Moore, 2 1stsBo Nix, Elijah Mitchell, 1 2nd, 1 later pick
2024-09-18-66%Derek Carr, Gabe DavisJoshua Palmer, Zamir White
2024-09-18+80%Bo Nix, Rome Odunze, Calvin RidleyBrian Thomas, 1 2nd
2024-08-21-21%Keenan Allen, Nick ChubbJoe Milton, 1 1st
2024-08-13-5%DJ Moore, Dallas Goedert, Rhamondre Stevenson, 1 moreMichael Mayer, 2 1sts
2024-05-13-129%Keenan Allen, Calvin Ridley, Gus Edwards3 1sts
2024-04-29+3%Calvin Ridley, Irv Smith, 1 1stLuke Musgrave, Zay Flowers

Read each row as: Aaron Rodgers, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Deshaun Watson plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Aaron Rodgers; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 27, the whole-deal value gap runs -5.8% from the side that received Aaron Rodgers, so the side ending up with Deshaun Watson has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Aaron Rodgers for Deshaun Watson fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 27 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Aaron Rodgers trade · Every Deshaun Watson trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms