Aaron Rodgers and Kyler Murray have been on opposite sides of 24 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.
In 3 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 3 to 0 between the Aaron Rodgers side and the Kyler Murray side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.
Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Aaron Rodgers prices at 41 and Kyler Murray at 505, so the market currently rates Kyler Murray about 12.3x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.
Values as of 2026-07-24.
| Date | Margin | Went with Aaron Rodgers | Went with Kyler Murray |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | -19% | Sam Darnold, Devin Singletary, Michael Wilson, 17 more, 2 1sts, 1 later pick | Cooper Rush, Ja'Marr Chase, Jalen Tolbert, 19 more, 1 2nd, 2 3rds, 1 later pick |
| 2025-12-19 | -12% | Christian McCaffrey, Terry McLaurin, Brian Robinson | Jordan Whittington, Ashton Jeanty, 1 3rd |
| 2025-11-09 | -35% | 1 1st | Xavier Legette, Tank Dell |
| 2025-07-03 | -45% | Jayden Daniels, Jordan Mason | Trevor Lawrence, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 3rd, 3 later picks |
| 2024-08-11 | -92% | George Pickens, 1 2nd | 1 1st, 1 2nd |
| 2023-11-13 | -39% | 1 1st, 2 2nds | — |
| 2023-08-07 | -89% | Keenan Allen, Jerick McKinnon, Courtland Sutton | Khalil Herbert, Wan'Dale Robinson, Tennessee Titans |
| 2023-06-18 | -7% | Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill, Isaiah Likely | Sam Darnold, Albert Okwuegbunam, Amon-Ra St. Brown |
| 2023-05-11 | +19% | Chris Olave, 1 later pick | 1 3rd |
| 2023-04-01 | -38% | Mike Evans, Tyler Lockett, David Montgomery, 1 more | Cole Kmet, 1 2nd, 1 later pick |
Read each row as: Aaron Rodgers, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Kyler Murray plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Aaron Rodgers; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 24, the whole-deal value gap runs -29.0% from the side that received Aaron Rodgers, so the side ending up with Kyler Murray has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is Aaron Rodgers for Kyler Murray fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 24 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every Aaron Rodgers trade · Every Kyler Murray trade
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