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Is Aaron Rodgers for Sam Darnold fair?

Aaron Rodgers and Sam Darnold have been on opposite sides of 25 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 7 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 4 of those 7 times it was the Aaron Rodgers side (3 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Sam Darnold as the more valuable of the two.

25
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
4 / 3
One side sweetened: Aaron Rodgers / Sam Darnold

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Aaron Rodgers prices at 29 and Sam Darnold at 431, so the market currently rates Sam Darnold about 14.9x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-09-04.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Aaron RodgersWent with Sam Darnold
2026-09-02-18%2 1sts, 1 2ndParker Washington, 1 2nd
2026-07-31+39%Chris Brooks, Jaylen Waddle, Isaac TeSlaa, 17 more, 2 1sts, 2 3rds, 1 later pickMatthew Stafford, Deebo Samuel, Sean Tucker, 10 more, 1 2nd, 2 3rds, 3 later picks
2026-05-21-37%Jahmyr Gibbs, Zach CharbonnetMarvin Harrison, 1 1st, 1 2nd
2026-05-07-2%Blake Corum, Tetairoa McMillan, 1 2nd, 1 3rdXavier Legette, Marvin Harrison, Isaiah Bond, 1 3rd, 1 later pick
2025-11-16+23%George PickensTory Horton, 1 2nd
2025-11-05-75%1 2nd
2025-10-15+87%Bryce Young
2025-08-10-84%Jaxson Dart, Stefon Diggs, 1 2ndTee Higgins, 1 1st
2025-06-14-1%Rome Odunze, 1 1stNico Collins
2025-04-27-41%1 2nd

Read each row as: Aaron Rodgers, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Sam Darnold plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Aaron Rodgers; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 25, the whole-deal value gap runs -1.5% from the side that received Aaron Rodgers - close to even. Read that as a measure of the entire trade, every piece included, not of these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Aaron Rodgers for Sam Darnold fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 25 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Aaron Rodgers trade · Every Sam Darnold trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Research · Privacy · Terms