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Is Aaron Rodgers for Justin Herbert fair?

Aaron Rodgers and Justin Herbert have been on opposite sides of 29 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 7 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 7 of those 7 times it was the Aaron Rodgers side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Justin Herbert as the more valuable of the two.

29
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
7 / 0
One side sweetened: Aaron Rodgers / Justin Herbert

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Aaron Rodgers prices at 41 and Justin Herbert at 3,160, so the market currently rates Justin Herbert about 77.1x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Aaron RodgersWent with Justin Herbert
2026-06-29-43%Woody Marks, Germie Bernard, Omar Cooper, 6 more, 2 later picksTyrell Shavers, Jackson Hawes, Tanner Koziol, 6 more
2025-01-11+14%Marvin Harrison, Brian RobinsonJavon Baker, 1 3rd
2024-08-30-49%Bo Nix, 1 1st, 2 2ndsRashid Shaheed
2024-08-13-13%DeAndre Hopkins, George Kittle, Nick Chubb, 1 moreBen Sinnott, Ladd McConkey, Drake London
2024-08-01+17%Isiah Pacheco, De'Von Achane
2024-07-23-72%Ray Davis, 1 1st
2024-04-28+7%Brandin Cooks, Christian McCaffrey, D'Onta Foreman, 1 moreJonathan Mingo, Jahan Dotson, Sam Howell
2024-03-14-19%Courtland Sutton, CeeDee Lamb, 1 later pickChris Olave
2024-02-15-171%Malik NabersAudric Estime, 1 3rd
2023-06-22+20%Justin Jefferson

Read each row as: Aaron Rodgers, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Justin Herbert plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Aaron Rodgers; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 29, the whole-deal value gap runs -19.2% from the side that received Aaron Rodgers, so the side ending up with Justin Herbert has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Aaron Rodgers for Justin Herbert fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 29 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Aaron Rodgers trade · Every Justin Herbert trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms