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Is Anthony Richardson for Josh Allen fair?

Anthony Richardson and Josh Allen have been on opposite sides of 30 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 11 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 11 of those 11 times it was the Anthony Richardson side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Josh Allen as the more valuable of the two.

30
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
11 / 0
One side sweetened: Anthony Richardson / Josh Allen

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Anthony Richardson prices at 339 and Josh Allen at 6,878, so the market currently rates Josh Allen about 20.3x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Anthony RichardsonWent with Josh Allen
2026-05-16-68%Bucky Irving, Jerry Jeudy, Daniel Jones, 13 more, 1 2nd, 1 3rdJoe Flacco, Audric Estime, Noah Gray, 17 more, 1 later pick
2026-03-15-69%Will Shipley, Jayden Higgins, Jalen Royals, 2 more, 2 1sts, 2 2ndsJustin Jefferson, Kyren Williams
2026-02-15-19%Devontez Walker, Davis Mills, Daniel Jones, 15 more, 1 1stJerry Jeudy, Efton Chism, Rachaad White, 17 more
2025-09-11-13%Brian Thomas, Mason Taylor
2025-07-08-8%Tyreek Hill, Aaron Jones, Tucker Kraft1 2nd
2024-11-28-0%Zay Flowers, 1 1st, 1 3rd, 1 later pick
2024-11-23+39%Jaylen Waddle, De'Von Achane, 1 1st1 2nd
2024-09-27+0%Zay Flowers
2024-08-31+11%Jonathon Brooks, Blake Corum, 1 1st, 1 later pickMike Evans, Raheem Mostert, 1 3rd
2024-07-09+0%1 1st

Read each row as: Anthony Richardson, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Josh Allen plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Anthony Richardson; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 30, the whole-deal value gap runs +0.3% from the side that received Anthony Richardson - close to even. Read that as a measure of the entire trade, every piece included, not of these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Anthony Richardson for Josh Allen fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 30 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Anthony Richardson trade · Every Josh Allen trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms