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Is Bo Nix for Lamar Jackson fair?

Bo Nix and Lamar Jackson have been on opposite sides of 20 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

In 3 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 3 to 0 between the Bo Nix side and the Lamar Jackson side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.

20
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
3 / 0
One side sweetened: Bo Nix / Lamar Jackson

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Bo Nix prices at 1,748 and Lamar Jackson at 4,824, so the market currently rates Lamar Jackson about 2.8x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

Grade Bo Nix for Lamar Jackson now Scout your league

The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Bo NixWent with Lamar Jackson
2026-06-10-18%Malik NabersMichael Pittman, James Cook
2026-05-10-16%Jahmyr GibbsEmeka Egbuka, TreVeyon Henderson
2026-05-03+30%Marvin Harrison, Matthew Golden, Quinshon Judkins, 2 1stsTravis Hunter, De'Von Achane
2026-04-11-59%Brian Thomas, 3 later picksPuka Nacua
2026-04-08+11%1 1stBrashard Smith, Chimere Dike
2026-01-03+13%J.J. McCarthy, Jaylen Waddle
2025-11-14+4%Troy Franklin, 2 1sts, 1 2ndDevontez Walker, Chuba Hubbard
2025-10-30-28%Tyler Warren, Wan'Dale Robinson, 1 1st, 1 2ndTrey McBride, 1 3rd
2025-10-07-25%Deebo Samuel, Jerry Jeudy, 1 later pickJordan Mason
2025-09-26-5%Quinshon Judkins

Read each row as: Bo Nix, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Lamar Jackson plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Bo Nix; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 20, the whole-deal value gap runs -9.6% from the side that received Bo Nix, so the side ending up with Lamar Jackson has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Bo Nix for Lamar Jackson fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 20 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Bo Nix trade · Every Lamar Jackson trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms