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Is Caleb Williams for Jayden Daniels fair?

Caleb Williams and Jayden Daniels have been on opposite sides of 35 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 3 of them were straight up: Caleb Williams for Jayden Daniels, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 10 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 7 of those 10 times it was the Caleb Williams side (3 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Jayden Daniels as the more valuable of the two.

35
Deals they were both in
3
Straight up, one for one
7 / 3
One side sweetened: Caleb Williams / Jayden Daniels

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Caleb Williams prices at 3,359 and Jayden Daniels at 4,581, so the market currently rates Jayden Daniels about 1.4x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Caleb WilliamsWent with Jayden Daniels
2026-07-15-4%De'Von AchaneOmarion Hampton
2026-07-02-0%Kyle Pitts, Khalil Shakir, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, 16 more, 2 later picksSam Darnold, Jaylen Waddle, Trey Benson, 16 more, 2 1sts
2026-05-25+5%
2026-05-22+6%Carnell TateRome Odunze
2026-05-01-9%A.J. Brown, 1 2nd, 1 3rdTerry McLaurin, 1 1st, 1 3rd
2025-12-17+19%Tyler WarrenGeorge Kittle
2025-11-27+3%1 2nd, 1 3rd, 1 later pick
2025-11-16-24%2 2nds1 3rd
2025-11-05-12%1 later pick
2025-11-05+10%Brock Bowers, Saquon Barkley, Drake LondonMalik Nabers, Travis Hunter, Trey McBride

Read each row as: Caleb Williams, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Jayden Daniels plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Caleb Williams; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 35, the whole-deal value gap runs +6.0% from the side that received Caleb Williams, so the side ending up with Caleb Williams has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Caleb Williams for Jayden Daniels fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 35 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Caleb Williams trade · Every Jayden Daniels trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms