Caleb Williams and Joe Burrow have been on opposite sides of 28 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 4 of them were straight up: Caleb Williams for Joe Burrow, nothing else changing hands.
In 2 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 2 to 0 between the Caleb Williams side and the Joe Burrow side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.
Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Caleb Williams prices at 3,359 and Joe Burrow at 3,751, so the market currently rates Joe Burrow about 1.1x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.
Values as of 2026-07-24.
| Date | Margin | Went with Caleb Williams | Went with Joe Burrow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | -0% | Kyle Pitts, Khalil Shakir, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, 16 more, 2 later picks | Sam Darnold, Jaylen Waddle, Trey Benson, 16 more, 2 1sts |
| 2026-06-17 | +4% | Michael Pittman, 1 3rd | J.K. Dobbins |
| 2026-05-26 | -13% | Ashton Jeanty | CeeDee Lamb |
| 2026-03-15 | -15% | 1 2nd | 1 3rd |
| 2025-12-07 | -16% | Rome Odunze, Kimani Vidal, Matthew Golden | Courtland Sutton, Jaylen Waddle, Alec Pierce |
| 2025-10-26 | +20% | 1 1st | J.K. Dobbins |
| 2025-10-20 | -22% | D'Andre Swift, 1 later pick | Elic Ayomanor, 1 2nd |
| 2025-10-17 | -28% | 1 1st | 1 1st |
| 2025-10-16 | +2% | Emari Demercado | — |
| 2025-10-09 | -15% | — | — |
Read each row as: Caleb Williams, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Joe Burrow plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Caleb Williams; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 28, the whole-deal value gap runs -11.3% from the side that received Caleb Williams, so the side ending up with Joe Burrow has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is Caleb Williams for Joe Burrow fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 28 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every Caleb Williams trade · Every Joe Burrow trade
All players with real trade data →