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Is Jayden Daniels for Patrick Mahomes fair?

Jayden Daniels and Patrick Mahomes have been on opposite sides of 31 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 3 of them were straight up: Jayden Daniels for Patrick Mahomes, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 5 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 3 of those 5 times it was the Jayden Daniels side (2 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Patrick Mahomes as the more valuable of the two.

31
Deals they were both in
3
Straight up, one for one
3 / 2
One side sweetened: Jayden Daniels / Patrick Mahomes

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Jayden Daniels prices at 4,581 and Patrick Mahomes at 4,309, so the market currently rates Jayden Daniels about 1.1x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Jayden DanielsWent with Patrick Mahomes
2026-06-01-6%Terry McLaurinJustin Fields, Alec Pierce
2026-05-19-13%Kyle Monangai, 1 1st, 1 later pickBrian Thomas, Matthew Golden, 1 2nd
2026-05-12-51%Terrance Ferguson, Travis Hunter, Malik Willis, 1 2ndTravis Kelce, De'Von Achane, 1 1st
2025-11-25+2%1 1stKyle Monangai, 1 2nd
2025-11-17-50%RJ Harvey, Oronde Gadsden, Marcus Mariota, 1 1st, 1 2ndGeorge Kittle, CeeDee Lamb
2025-11-13-17%Malik Nabers, DJ Moore, Kyle Pitts, 1 more, 1 3rdDavante Adams, Josh Jacobs, Bijan Robinson
2025-11-11-24%
2025-11-08-22%Terrance Ferguson
2025-11-06-38%Travis Hunter, 1 2ndDerrick Henry, George Pickens
2025-11-05-12%Luther BurdenTyjae Spears

Read each row as: Jayden Daniels, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Patrick Mahomes plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Jayden Daniels; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 31, the whole-deal value gap runs -17.7% from the side that received Jayden Daniels, so the side ending up with Patrick Mahomes has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Jayden Daniels for Patrick Mahomes fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 31 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Jayden Daniels trade · Every Patrick Mahomes trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms