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Is C.J. Stroud for Jayden Daniels fair?

C.J. Stroud and Jayden Daniels have been on opposite sides of 23 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 5 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 5 of those 5 times it was the C.J. Stroud side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Jayden Daniels as the more valuable of the two.

23
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
5 / 0
One side sweetened: C.J. Stroud / Jayden Daniels

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today C.J. Stroud prices at 1,486 and Jayden Daniels at 4,581, so the market currently rates Jayden Daniels about 3.1x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with C.J. StroudWent with Jayden Daniels
2026-06-18+10%Geno Smith, Davante Adams, Derrick Henry, 1 more, 1 1stDemond Claiborne, Chris Brazzell, 2 2nds, 2 3rds
2026-05-28-29%Ricky Pearsall, Kirk Cousins, 1 2ndMichael Trigg, Tank Bigsby
2026-05-07-22%1 1st, 1 2nd1 1st
2026-03-12+16%Christian McCaffrey
2026-03-10+7%Isaiah Bond, Garrett Wilson1 2nd
2026-02-27+14%Azeez Al-Shaair, 1 1stJordan Magee
2025-11-11-18%Rico Dowdle, Nico CollinsTerry McLaurin, Garrett Wilson
2025-08-28+43%Stefon Diggs, Saquon Barkley, CeeDee LambBucky Irving, Matthew Golden, Darnell Mooney, 1 2nd
2025-07-16+14%1 1st, 1 2ndJauan Jennings, 1 later pick
2025-07-13+50%Drake Maye, Tyjae Spears, Zach CharbonnetKeenan Allen, Cam Akers

Read each row as: C.J. Stroud, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Jayden Daniels plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received C.J. Stroud; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 23, the whole-deal value gap runs +19.0% from the side that received C.J. Stroud, so the side ending up with C.J. Stroud has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is C.J. Stroud for Jayden Daniels fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 23 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every C.J. Stroud trade · Every Jayden Daniels trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms