C.J. Stroud and Joe Burrow have been on opposite sides of 44 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: C.J. Stroud for Joe Burrow, nothing else changing hands.
This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 10 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 8 of those 10 times it was the C.J. Stroud side (2 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Joe Burrow as the more valuable of the two.
Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today C.J. Stroud prices at 1,486 and Joe Burrow at 3,751, so the market currently rates Joe Burrow about 2.5x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.
Values as of 2026-07-24.
| Date | Margin | Went with C.J. Stroud | Went with Joe Burrow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | -46% | Drake Maye, 1 2nd | Michael Wilson, Justin Herbert, Parker Washington |
| 2026-05-17 | -18% | 1 1st | — |
| 2026-05-16 | -18% | 1 1st | — |
| 2026-04-07 | +0% | George Kittle, CeeDee Lamb, Jake Tonges | Garrett Wilson, Rashid Shaheed |
| 2025-10-22 | -44% | Isiah Pacheco, Jordan Mason, Rashid Shaheed | Ricky Pearsall, Pat Bryant |
| 2025-10-02 | +17% | Braelon Allen, Breece Hall, 1 2nd | Jalen Milroe, 1 1st |
| 2025-09-25 | -21% | Isiah Pacheco | 1 1st |
| 2025-09-24 | -3% | Michael Pittman, Nico Collins | Jayden Higgins, Travis Hunter |
| 2025-09-23 | +15% | Justin Jefferson | Jake Browning, 2 1sts |
| 2025-09-16 | -8% | Kyle Pitts | — |
Read each row as: C.J. Stroud, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Joe Burrow plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received C.J. Stroud; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 44, the whole-deal value gap runs -8.0% from the side that received C.J. Stroud, so the side ending up with Joe Burrow has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is C.J. Stroud for Joe Burrow fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 44 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every C.J. Stroud trade · Every Joe Burrow trade
All players with real trade data →