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Is C.J. Stroud for Josh Allen fair?

C.J. Stroud and Josh Allen have been on opposite sides of 29 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: C.J. Stroud for Josh Allen, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 8 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 8 of those 8 times it was the C.J. Stroud side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Josh Allen as the more valuable of the two.

29
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
8 / 0
One side sweetened: C.J. Stroud / Josh Allen

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today C.J. Stroud prices at 1,486 and Josh Allen at 6,878, so the market currently rates Josh Allen about 4.6x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

Grade C.J. Stroud for Josh Allen now Scout your league

The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with C.J. StroudWent with Josh Allen
2026-05-09+4%Marvin Harrison, 1 1st1 2nd
2025-12-01+7%2 1sts
2025-11-09-9%Malaki Starks, Brenton Strange, 1 1st, 1 2nd
2025-10-19-8%Justin Jefferson, DeVonta SmithXavier Worthy, Brian Thomas, 1 3rd
2025-09-28+7%Jalen Coker, 2 1sts, 2 3rdsMark Andrews
2025-09-08+38%Mac Jones, 6 1stsMitchell Trubisky, T.J. Edwards, Jaylen Waddle
2025-08-16+28%Garrett Wilson, 1 2nd
2025-08-15-30%Jonathon Brooks, Trey Benson, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 3rd, 1 later pickDeebo Samuel, David Montgomery
2025-05-09+27%Christian Kirk, Jerry Jeudy, Kenneth Walker, 1 1st, 2 2ndsTravis Kelce, James Conner, Austin Ekeler
2025-04-30+28%Xavier Worthy, 2 1sts, 2 2nds, 1 3rdDalton Kincaid, Xavier Legette, David Montgomery, 1 more

Read each row as: C.J. Stroud, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Josh Allen plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received C.J. Stroud; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 29, the whole-deal value gap runs -8.1% from the side that received C.J. Stroud, so the side ending up with Josh Allen has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is C.J. Stroud for Josh Allen fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 29 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every C.J. Stroud trade · Every Josh Allen trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms