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Is C.J. Stroud for Justin Herbert fair?

C.J. Stroud and Justin Herbert have been on opposite sides of 36 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: C.J. Stroud for Justin Herbert, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 14 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 8 of those 14 times it was the C.J. Stroud side (6 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Justin Herbert as the more valuable of the two.

36
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
8 / 6
One side sweetened: C.J. Stroud / Justin Herbert

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today C.J. Stroud prices at 1,598 and Justin Herbert at 3,304, so the market currently rates Justin Herbert about 2.1x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-09-04.

Grade C.J. Stroud for Justin Herbert now Scout your league

The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with C.J. StroudWent with Justin Herbert
2026-08-15-2%1 1st
2026-07-23+29%Emeka Egbuka, Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Jordan Addison
2026-06-15-55%Dylan Sampson, Terrance Ferguson, Gunnar Helm, 2 1sts, 4 2nds, 1 3rd, 1 later pickDerrick Henry, Trevor Lawrence, Tucker Kraft
2026-05-29-46%Drake Maye, 1 2ndMichael Wilson, Joe Burrow, Parker Washington
2026-04-13+11%1 1st
2026-03-25+43%Zach Charbonnet, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 3rdDerrick Henry
2026-02-21-6%RJ Harvey
2025-11-08+18%1 1st
2025-05-19+39%Bucky Irving, Stefon Diggs, Rachaad White, 1 moreJayden Reed, Ricky Pearsall, Jordan James, 1 more, 1 2nd
2025-05-05+20%Rashee Rice, Tank BigsbyTravis Kelce, Mike Evans, 1 3rd

Read each row as: C.J. Stroud, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Justin Herbert plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received C.J. Stroud; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 36, the whole-deal value gap runs -0.8% from the side that received C.J. Stroud - close to even. Read that as a measure of the entire trade, every piece included, not of these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is C.J. Stroud for Justin Herbert fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 36 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every C.J. Stroud trade · Every Justin Herbert trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Research · Privacy · Terms