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Is Dallas Goedert for Darren Waller fair?

Dallas Goedert and Darren Waller have been on opposite sides of 26 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 6 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 4 of those 6 times it was the Dallas Goedert side (2 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Darren Waller as the more valuable of the two.

26
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
4 / 2
One side sweetened: Dallas Goedert / Darren Waller

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Dallas Goedert prices at 393 and Darren Waller at 6, so the market currently rates Dallas Goedert about 65.5x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Dallas GoedertWent with Darren Waller
2024-03-12-52%Jaylen Warren
2023-10-21-76%Michael Gallup, DK Metcalf, Donovan Peoples-Jones, 2 moreBrock Purdy, De'Von Achane, Anthony Richardson
2023-08-19-36%George Pickens, 1 1st, 2 2ndsTyreek Hill, Christian Kirk, Deebo Samuel
2023-07-13-28%Geno Smith, Evan Engram, 1 2nd, 1 3rd, 1 later pickTravis Kelce
2023-07-04+74%Samaje Perine
2023-04-15+40%DK Metcalf, 1 3rd, 2 later picksDavante Adams
2023-04-02+44%Justin Fields, 1 1stDaniel Jones, 1 1st
2022-10-07-46%Miles Sanders, 1 2ndDerek Carr
2022-09-09-33%2 3rds
2022-09-01-45%DeVante Parker, Tyler Boyd, Baker Mayfield, 1 moreKareem Hunt, Christian Kirk, Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Read each row as: Dallas Goedert, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Darren Waller plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Dallas Goedert; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 26, the whole-deal value gap runs -33.5% from the side that received Dallas Goedert, so the side ending up with Darren Waller has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Dallas Goedert for Darren Waller fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 26 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Dallas Goedert trade · Every Darren Waller trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms