Darren Waller and Travis Kelce have been on opposite sides of 43 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.
This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 13 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 13 of those 13 times it was the Darren Waller side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Travis Kelce as the more valuable of the two.
Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Darren Waller prices at 6 and Travis Kelce at 265, so the market currently rates Travis Kelce about 44.2x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.
Values as of 2026-07-24.
| Date | Margin | Went with Darren Waller | Went with Travis Kelce |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | -68% | Bucky Irving, Jerry Jeudy, Daniel Jones, 13 more, 1 2nd, 1 3rd | Joe Flacco, Audric Estime, Noah Gray, 17 more, 1 later pick |
| 2024-05-30 | -32% | Gabe Davis, Javonte Williams, 1 2nd | Alvin Kamara, Noah Brown |
| 2023-10-31 | -80% | Geno Smith, 1 2nd | — |
| 2023-10-07 | +0% | Adam Thielen, Michael Thomas, Josh Allen, 1 more | Kirk Cousins, Jamaal Williams, Joshua Dobbs, 1 more, 1 3rd, 2 later picks |
| 2023-10-05 | -89% | Mike Evans, Alvin Kamara, Dalton Schultz, 1 more | Michael Thomas, Najee Harris |
| 2023-09-25 | -118% | Kyren Williams, Luke Musgrave, 1 2nd | Deuce Vaughn, 1 2nd |
| 2023-08-28 | -65% | 1 1st | — |
| 2023-08-17 | -100% | Deon Jackson, Aaron Rodgers | Keaontay Ingram, Rashid Shaheed |
| 2023-08-05 | -39% | Jerry Jeudy, 1 2nd, 1 3rd | Jayden Reed, 1 2nd |
| 2023-06-02 | -70% | Allen Robinson, Devin Singletary, 1 1st, 1 3rd | Amari Cooper, 1 1st |
Read each row as: Darren Waller, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Travis Kelce plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Darren Waller; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 43, the whole-deal value gap runs -26.7% from the side that received Darren Waller, so the side ending up with Travis Kelce has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is Darren Waller for Travis Kelce fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 43 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every Darren Waller trade · Every Travis Kelce trade
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