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Is Dallas Goedert for Travis Kelce fair?

Dallas Goedert and Travis Kelce have been on opposite sides of 70 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 2 of them were straight up: Dallas Goedert for Travis Kelce, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 16 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 16 of those 16 times it was the Dallas Goedert side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Travis Kelce as the more valuable of the two.

70
Deals they were both in
2
Straight up, one for one
16 / 0
One side sweetened: Dallas Goedert / Travis Kelce

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Dallas Goedert prices at 393 and Travis Kelce at 265, so the market currently rates Dallas Goedert about 1.5x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Dallas GoedertWent with Travis Kelce
2026-07-22+88%James Conner, Tucker Kraft, Andrei Iosivas, 15 more, 1 later pickCeeDee Lamb, Davis Mills, Matthew Stafford, 16 more, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 2 3rds, 2 later picks
2026-03-07+115%
2024-12-21-1%Dak PrescottKeenan Allen, Derrick Henry
2024-10-30-6%Raheem Mostert, Quentin Johnston, 1 1stAaron Jones
2024-10-02+36%Jaxon Smith-NjigbaJordan Mason, 1 2nd
2024-09-13+73%DK MetcalfJalen McMillan
2024-07-11+12%Saquon Barkley, Mecole Hardman, 1 1st, 1 2ndChristian Watson, 2 1sts
2024-05-04-18%Tyler Higbee, 1 1st1 1st
2024-03-11+85%Drake London, Isiah Pacheco, 1 1st, 1 2nd1 1st
2023-10-27-50%1 1st, 1 2nd

Read each row as: Dallas Goedert, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Travis Kelce plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Dallas Goedert; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 70, the whole-deal value gap runs -18.1% from the side that received Dallas Goedert, so the side ending up with Travis Kelce has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Dallas Goedert for Travis Kelce fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 70 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Dallas Goedert trade · Every Travis Kelce trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms