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Is Dallas Goedert for Dawson Knox fair?

Dallas Goedert and Dawson Knox have been on opposite sides of 20 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 6 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 5 of those 6 times it was the Dawson Knox side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Dallas Goedert as the more valuable of the two.

20
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
1 / 5
One side sweetened: Dallas Goedert / Dawson Knox

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Dallas Goedert prices at 397 and Dawson Knox at 4, so the market currently rates Dallas Goedert about 99.2x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-09-04.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Dallas GoedertWent with Dawson Knox
2026-08-20+52%Matthew Stafford, Isaac TeSlaa, Davante Adams, 14 more, 1 3rdJauan Jennings, Isaiah Davis, Kirk Cousins, 10 more
2025-12-04+25%1 2nd
2025-11-11+56%Azeez Al-ShaairMyles Murphy, 1 2nd, 3 3rds
2024-04-28-87%Mike WilliamsJordan Addison
2023-08-27+175%1 3rd
2023-07-14-12%Russell Wilson, Davante Adams, Stefon Diggs, 2 moreRoschon Johnson, Matthew Stafford, CeeDee Lamb, 4 more
2023-06-28+109%Donovan Peoples-Jones, Nico Collins, 1 3rd
2023-03-12+40%Geno Smith, Trevor Lawrence, DeVonta Smith, 2 more, 3 1stsJoe Burrow, Ja'Marr Chase, Tyquan Thornton, 1 2nd, 1 3rd
2022-11-15-35%Rhamondre Stevenson
2022-10-28+90%1 2ndRobert Tonyan, Khalil Shakir, 1 2nd

Read each row as: Dallas Goedert, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Dawson Knox plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Dallas Goedert; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 20, the whole-deal value gap runs +39.0% from the side that received Dallas Goedert, so the side ending up with Dallas Goedert has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Dallas Goedert for Dawson Knox fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 20 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Dallas Goedert trade · Every Dawson Knox trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Research · Privacy · Terms