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Is Dalton Kincaid for Travis Kelce fair?

Dalton Kincaid and Travis Kelce have been on opposite sides of 26 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 6 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 4 of those 6 times it was the Travis Kelce side (2 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Dalton Kincaid as the more valuable of the two.

26
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
2 / 4
One side sweetened: Dalton Kincaid / Travis Kelce

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Dalton Kincaid prices at 1,952 and Travis Kelce at 265, so the market currently rates Dalton Kincaid about 7.4x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Dalton KincaidWent with Travis Kelce
2026-03-25+88%Jordan Love, 1 2ndParker Washington, 1 1st
2026-03-05+76%1 1stDerrick Henry, George Kittle
2025-11-26-2%Kurtis Rourke, Tetairoa McMillan, Jackson Hawes, 1 moreDerrick Henry, Hunter Henry, Lamar Jackson
2025-10-16+35%Tre Tucker, DeVonta Smith, Najee HarrisDerrick Henry, Tyler Higbee, Kareem Hunt, 2 more
2025-09-09+54%Jaylen WaddleTerry McLaurin, 1 2nd
2025-04-27+46%Stefon Diggs, 1 later pickMichael Pittman, 1 3rd
2025-04-15-34%James Conner, Dawson Knox, Josh DownsMichael Wilson, Grant Calcaterra, De'Von Achane
2025-04-03-12%Joe Milton, MarShawn Lloyd, Jonathon Brooks, 5 more, 1 3rdDavante Adams, Mike Evans, Derrick Henry, 4 more
2025-03-02-13%Jerry Jeudy
2025-01-05+74%Anthony RichardsonJ.J. McCarthy

Read each row as: Dalton Kincaid, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Travis Kelce plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Dalton Kincaid; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 26, the whole-deal value gap runs -0.3% from the side that received Dalton Kincaid - close to even. Read that as a measure of the entire trade, every piece included, not of these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Dalton Kincaid for Travis Kelce fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 26 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Dalton Kincaid trade · Every Travis Kelce trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms