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Is Daniel Jones for Deshaun Watson fair?

Daniel Jones and Deshaun Watson have been on opposite sides of 22 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 9 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 8 of those 9 times it was the Daniel Jones side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Deshaun Watson as the more valuable of the two.

22
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
8 / 1
One side sweetened: Daniel Jones / Deshaun Watson

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Daniel Jones prices at 324 and Deshaun Watson at 37, so the market currently rates Daniel Jones about 8.8x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Daniel JonesWent with Deshaun Watson
2024-10-29-110%Darius Slayton, 1 3rd
2024-10-26-110%Andy Dalton, DeMario DouglasChris Godwin, 1 later pick
2024-10-13-131%Spencer Rattler, Drew LockZach Ertz, Jameis Winston, Samaje Perine, 3 more
2024-05-20+55%Jordan Travis, 1 1st
2024-05-05-109%1 3rd
2024-03-18+12%Rondale Moore, George PickensTucker Kraft
2024-01-19-74%Cole Turner
2023-06-25-4%1 1st1 3rd
2022-11-17+25%Jaylen Waddle
2022-11-04+18%Gabe Davis, Amon-Ra St. BrownMack Hollins, Julio Jones, 1 3rd

Read each row as: Daniel Jones, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Deshaun Watson plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Daniel Jones; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 22, the whole-deal value gap runs +1.8% from the side that received Daniel Jones - close to even. Read that as a measure of the entire trade, every piece included, not of these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Daniel Jones for Deshaun Watson fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 22 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Daniel Jones trade · Every Deshaun Watson trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms